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All Education Matters -
August 22, 2011
The Author's Hour:
Morley Winograd and Mike
D. Hais and their Search
to Understand
Millennials
By Cryn Johannsen
Mike D. Hais and Morley
Winograd are political scientists who found
themselves interested in Millennials. This
interest turned into two books, one of which
is being published this coming
September. Millennial Momentum: How a New
Generation is Remaking America is their
latest work. Mike and Morley sent me an
advance copy last week, and I've already
devoured most of it. Their statistics about
higher education, as well as the conclusions
they draw, are golden. In addition, their
take on the Millennial generation has given
me a great deal of hope, something that is
hard to come by at this juncture in U.S.
history.
Besides being two amazing men and superb
researchers, who are they exactly?
Morley Winograd is a Senior Fellow at the
University of Southern California’s
Annenberg School’s Center on Communication
Leadership and Policy. He served as senior
policy advisor to Vice President Al Gore and
director of the National Partnership for
Reinventing Government (NPR) from December
1, 1997 until January 20, 2001.
Mike D. Hais served for a decade as Vice
President, Entertainment Research and for
more than 22 years overall at Frank N. Magid
Associates where he conducted audience
research for hundreds of television
stations, cable channels, and program
producers in nearly all 50 states and more
than a dozen foreign countries. Before that,
he was a pollster for Democrats in Michigan.
In addition, Mike was an Assistant Professor
of Political Science at the University of
Detroit.
[These bios above were copied and truncated.
For their full ones, visit
here].
CCJ: I know a lot of my readers at AEM know
who are you two are, but for those who don't
know about your new, insightful book on
Millennials and so forth, please share a few
things about how you came to this project,
how long you've know one another, and so
forth. Also, what's the title of your
forthcoming book?
Mike & Morley: Our new book, Millennial
Momentum: How a New Generation is Remaking
America (September 2011), continues the work
that resulted in the publication of our
first book entitled Millennial Makeover:
MySpace, YouTube and the Future of American
Politics (2008). Both books flow from our
fascination with and optimism about the
impact members of the Millennial Generation,
Americans born between 1982 and 2003, will
have on this country. We believe that the
generational cycle theories of William
Strauss and Neil Howe, detailed in their
books, Generations (1991) and The Fourth
Turning (1997), have enormous powers to both
explain US history and to predict what’s
ahead for the nation. When we first read
those books two decades ago we decided to
apply the generational frame work to an
arena in which both of us had great interest
and experience—politics. Using
Mike’s background in survey research and
political polling and the generosity of his
former employer, Frank N. Magid Associates,
the world’s leading news and entertainment
market research and consultation firm, we
were able to empirically test the validity
of Strauss and Howe’s theory using rigorous
survey research methodologies. Our success
in accurately forecasting the results of the
2008 election in our first book, which was
written more than a year before Barack Obama
was elected president, clearly bore out the
usefulness and accuracy of generational
theory in understanding American politics.
In our newest book, we use both Magid and
Pew Survey Research center data to predict
the trajectory of American life over coming
decades in areas such as government and
politics, education and the workplace,
family life and religion, and even
entertainment and sports.
It all began in the late 1970s when I
[Morley] was the Chairperson of the Michigan
Democratic Party and I [Mike] was a
political science professor at the
University of Detroit with an interest in
political polling. We met at the HQ of the
Michigan Democratic Party on Jefferson
Avenue in Detroit and a lifelong friendship
and partnership began. Perhaps our first
major success as a team was in 1982 when we
used polling to devise a strategy based on
appealing to moderate ticket splitting
voters in Detroit and its suburbs to help
elect Jim Blanchard as the first Democratic
governor of Michigan in more than two
decades. A year later, I [Mike] began a 22+
year career with Magid. Meanwhile, Morley
began a journey that took him to the top
marketing echelons at AT&T and positions as
the head of Al Gore’s reinventing government
efforts during the Clinton administration,
and the leadership of the Telecom Management
program at USC’s Marshall School of
Business. We moved to Southern California in
the early 1990s and when we both retired
about 15 years later, our joint writing
career started.
CCJ: I have always had an interest in
generational differences, too. It was
something I studied when I was working on my
Ph.D. at Brown. Of course, I was not
carrying out research as a political
scientist, but I understand your angle, and
it's fascinating.
What do you think are the most distinct
things that define the Millennial
Generation?
Mike & Morley: The most distinctive aspect
of the Millennial Generation is its strong
belief in taking collective action primarily
at the local level to solve national
problems [my emphasis]. The generation’s
unique background leads it to take on
challenges by combining pragmatism and
idealism. Like 'civic'
generations before them, Millennials are
optimistic about the future because they
believe they can change what isn’t working
and build new institutions that will work
better than existing one have. While many
older people focus on the generation’s
facility with new technology, particularly
social media, they often fail to realize
that the Millennial Generation’s focus on
sharing and searching for group consensus is
creating a brand new way to take on
society’s challenges and address them and
is, in fact, it’s most important
characteristic.
Demographically, Millennials are the largest
and most diverse generation in American
history. There are now about 95 million
Millennials, 10 million more than Baby
Boomers and twice as many as Generation X.
Forty percent of Millennials are
non-white—African-American, Asian, Hispanic,
and people of mixed race. About one-quarter
of American adults are now Millennials. At
the end of this decade, when the youngest
Millennials become adults, more than
one-third of US adults (36%) will be a
Millennial. Any generation with these
numbers cannot help but shape American life
for decades.
CCJ: Your book tour is beginning soon. What
cities will you be visiting?
Mike & Morley: We wrote both of our books
primarily to explain the Millennial
Generation to older generations and make
them aware of the possibilities and promise
of this generation. We are therefore very
pleased to be invited to a number of forums
in September and October to talk about the
book and its message. ... I'm looking
forward to meeting Mike and Morley in
Galveston in September, and I hope that some
of you are able to make it to their talks
across the country.
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