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beinkandescent.com
- November 4, 2011
Glimpse the Future With
"Millennial Momentum"
By Chris Carbone
Futurist, Director
Innovaro, Inc.
It’s easy to find books
and articles that tell you that we’re headed
down the wrong path … that we’re going to be
less healthy, more divided, less secure, and
generally less well off as a nation in the
future.
But as Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais
show in Millennial Momentum: How a New
Generation Is Remaking America, there
are other ways to view the future of the
United States and its social, economic, and
political dynamics.
A Look at the Next Great Generation
I had the pleasure of featuring Winograd and
Hais on a webinar I hosted this past summer,
which explored the key trends and factors
influencing American family life in the next
decade. We discussed demographic and
economic shifts, changing consumer values,
new patterns of technology usage, and other
trends.
Winograd and Hais have become known as keen
observers of the Millennial generation ever
since their prescient 2008 book,
Millennial Makeover: MySpace, YouTube, & the
Future of American Politics, foretold
the influence that Millennials would have on
the election of President Barack Obama.
On the webinar, the authors generously
shared their insights on how Millennials are
going to impact American family life, but in
revisiting “Millennial Momentum” recently, I
was reminded of just how much it has to
offer.
Why I like this book.
“Millennial Momentum” has several attributes
that make it worth the time of anyone who is
thinking about the future of the US, its
social and political dynamics, and consumer
lifestyles.
First, Hais and Winograd do a great job
setting the context for today. Like all good
futurists, they have a real sense of
history, and they use it to help readers
understand where we may be headed in the
future.
For example, the first chapter of the book
is peppered with a variety of historical
references—from the Battle of Yorktown to
the 1936 reelection of FDR—to help explain
generational theory and the Millennials’
place in it.
Second, they’ve got data and they’re not
afraid to use it. … At its heart, this is a
research book, not a drawn-out opinion
piece. It’s based on data made available to
the authors by the
Pew
Research Center, and
Frank N.
Magid Associates, as well as their
observations of and interactions with
members of the Millennial community (for
example:
TheNextGreatGeneration.com).
Finally, the book’s forecasts cover a lot of
ground. There’s something for everyone in
this book, including optimism and hope,
which can be hard to find in an analysis of
America’s future today.
What you’ll learn:
Here is an overview of some of the kinds of
insights you can expect from “Millennial
Momentum.”
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Generations
matter. The authors give a
mini-lesson in generational theory and
explain how our history—and future—is
influenced by the country’s generational
cycle, which lasts about 80 years, and
cycles through four generational
“types”—Idealist, Reactive, Civic, and
Adaptive.
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Millennials are
on the rise. The US is now
entering a period when “an ideologically
driven, highly divided idealist
generation [Baby Boomers] … is facing a
civic generation [Millennials].” Civic
generations tend to be optimistic; they
emphasize tackling societal challenges
and building institutions. The last
civic generation was the GI Generation
(born 1901-1924), which defeated Fascism
and then set its sights on rebuilding
institutions, economies, and their lives
after World War II.
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Just follow the
numbers. There are 95 million
Americans in the Millennial generation,
and by 2020 virtually all of them will
be of voting age. They will make their
voices heard.
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Crowd-sourced
government? Even though
Winograd and Hais note that Millennials
are generally more aligned with the
Democratic party, they make it clear
that the Millennials’ desire to solve
societal challenges and collaborate does
not favor the status quo. They will push
for increased group participation and
transparency, suggesting that both
parties will be into new territory in
coming years.
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Millennials
will remake the workplace.
Millennials will push for more trusting
management styles and processes that
“embrace the bottom-up values of
Millennials.” They’ll want work to be
more than a paycheck and make a
difference: Winograd and Hais note that
85 percent of Millennials want their
work to have a positive impact on the
world, the same level expressed by
Boomers, and significantly higher than
Gen Xers.
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Millennial
families and home life. The
personal choices of millions of
Millennials—whom they marry, where they
live, how they raise their kids—will
reshape the American family in coming
decades. Winograd and Hais suggest a
preference for suburban living,
multigenerational households, and
incredible diversity in family makeup
based on Millennials’ tolerance and
live-and-let-live attitudes.
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Entertainment,
Millennial style. The
entertainment and cultural contributions
of the Millennials will reflect their
“unique blend of teamwork, optimism, and
individual initiative,” and contrast
sharply the self-above-team attitudes of
Gen X stars. Winograd and Hais even
offer insight into the move of LeBron
James from the Cleveland Cavaliers to
the Miami Heat by describing it in its
generational context.
The forecast
for the Millennials isn’t all roses.
The authors don’t suggest that we’ll always
have smooth sailing, but Winograd and Hais
are clear that there are serious choices to
make about the future.
In fact, they argue that whichever “path the
United States ultimately takes will be
determined by the Millennial generation’s
willingness to engage in a vast civic
endeavor to remake America and its
institutions and the willingness of the rest
of the country to follow its lead.”
So it looks like it’s up to all of us as to
whether the momentum of the Millennial
generation carries us toward a better
future.
For More Information
Recently, Winograd and Hais were interviewed
by Judy Woodruff on “PBS NewsHour,” which
gives a useful introduction to the book.
Click here for their Book Conversation.
Of course, there’s much more in “Millennial
Momentum” than can be fit on these pages, so
click here to visit the author’s website,
millennialmomentum.com.
Then, click here to
buy the book, and find out how a new
generation is remaking America.
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