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NewGeography.com —
December 15, 2011
Let’s Level the
Inter-generational
Playing Field
By
Michael D. Hais and
Morley Winograd
With President Obama’s
speech in Osawatomie,
Kansas decrying the
growing economic
inequality and lack of
upward mobility in
America, the issue has
finally arrived at the
center of this year’s
campaign debates. While
most discussions of this
growing inequality focus
on the gap between
America’s poorest and
richest citizens, a
recent
report
by the Pew
Foundation
highlights how the same
economic trends over the
last two and a half
decades have also
widened the wealth gap
between the oldest and
youngest Americans to
the highest levels in
history.
In a time of great
political unrest and
economic anxiety, this
inter-generational
wealth gap has the
potential to throw
gasoline on an already
white hot fire. Only by
understanding the
sources of this
increasing disparity can
the country develop
policies that will help
to close the gap and
create a fairer, less
economically stratified
society.
Drawing on data provided
by the U.S. Census
Bureau’s Survey of
Income and Program
Participation (SIPP),
Pew documents the
tectonic shifts that
have occurred in
households’ net worth
based upon age between
1985 and 2009. During
this time, the average
net worth of households
headed by those under 35
fell from $11,521 to
just $3,662, a drop of
68%. During the same
period, the net wealth
of households, as
measured by adding up
the value of all assets
owned minus liabilities
such as mortgages or
credit card debt
associated with those
assets, headed by those
over 65 increased by
42%, from $120,457 to
$170,494 (all figures
are expressed in 2010
dollars).
Of course younger
households have always
been less wealthy than
older ones, since the
heads of those
households haven’t had a
lifetime to acquire
wealth. In 1984, this
effect of age on
household wealth meant
that senior citizen
households had, on
average, ten times the
wealth of those headed
by people younger than
35. However, the
enormous generational
shift in household
wealth that occurred in
the intervening
twenty-five years meant
that, by 2009, the net
worth of senior citizen
households was 47 times
greater than younger
households. The
resulting disparities in
economic well-being are
reflected in each
generation’s perception
of its own economic
situation.
Those Americans over 65
in 2009 are members of
what generational
historians call the
Silent Generation. Only
25% of
Silents expressed any
dissatisfaction with
their personal financial
situation that year, a
percentage that did not
increase in the next two
years of the Great
Recession.
By contrast, 36% of
people under 35 in 2009
– mostly members of the
Millennial Generation –
expressed
dissatisfaction with
their individual
finances in 2009, a
number that rose to 39%
in 2011. But the biggest
jump in dissatisfaction
with personal finances
between 2009 and 2011
occurred among the next
older cohort, who are
considered to be members
of Generation X. In
2009, only 30% of Xers
felt dissatisfied, a
number that shot up to
42% in 2011. Finally,
32% of the Baby Boom
generation, born from
1946 to 1964 and
approaching their
retirement years in
2009, were dissatisfied
with their personal
financial situation, a
number that rose only to
39% by 2011.
One of the reasons
behind this disparity of
financial and economic
concern among
generations lies with
the different impact the
nation’s housing market
has had on each
generation between 1985
and 2009. The
great housing price
collapse that began in
2008 had little impact
on Millennials, only 18%
of whom currently own
their own home. By
comparison, 57% of Gen
Xers own their own home.
Three-fourths of them
bought after 2000 when
housing prices began to
soar. As a result, about
one in five members of
Gen X now say their home
mortgage is under water,
with the balance owed
greater than the value
of the house. By
comparison, only 13% of
Boomers and a miniscule
4% of Silents, most of
whom bought homes well
before the crash, report
having under water
mortgages. In fact, if
it weren’t for the
overall rise in housing
prices since 1984 that
Silents were able to
take advantage of, that
generation’s net worth
would have fallen by a
third in the twenty-five
years since, instead of
rising by 42%. Clearly,
to improve Gen X’s
attitudes toward the
economy and reduce the
inter-generational
wealth gap, something
must be done to fix the
nation’s housing market.
For older generations –
Boomers facing
retirement and Silents
already enjoying their
new life – housing is
not an especially large
concern. Retirement
savings based on stock
market valuations and/or
interest rates and the
certainty of pension
payments are clearly a
much bigger issue with
these generations.
Almost two-thirds of
Boomers believe they may
have to defer their
retirement beyond 65
because of the decline
in their savings and net
worth, with about one in
four now expecting to
work until at least 70.
While the stock market
has almost fully
recovered from the 2008
crash, for those
counting on a more
interest-oriented set of
retirement payouts from
bonds or CDs, years of
rock bottom interest
rates, designed by the
Federal Reserve to
stimulate the housing
market and help the
economy recover, have
made these investments
problematic at best. In
some ways, economic
policies that are
designed to help Gen X
with their housing
challenges offer older
generations scant
comfort, and in certain
instances actually
exacerbate their
concerns over their
personal finances.
Millennials diminished
sense of economic
opportunity remains
focused almost entirely
on the job market. About
two-thirds of
Millennials are employed
but only slightly half
of those are working
full-time. Almost
two-thirds of
Millennials without a
job are looking for
work. Unemployment among
16-24 year olds rose to
19.1% by the fourth
quarter of 2009, a full
eight points higher than
in 2007 before the
crash. For all other
generations,
unemployment has gone up
on average by only 5
points during the same
time period. It seems
too obvious to be worth
stating, but the best
way to increase
Millennials’ wealth is
to create an economy
where they can all find
jobs.
Anxiety that the
nation’s economy is only
working for the
wealthiest drives
much of
the overall feeling
of fear, uncertainty and
doubt that pervades the
nation’s political
debate. But an
examination of household
wealth suggests the
remedy to this disease
varies by generation.
Senior citizens turned
out in record numbers in
the 2010 election to
decry the policies of
the Obama
administration, but it
would appear from both
the economic and
attitudinal data that
most of them are more
interested in fighting
to hang on to what they
have or in resisting
other societal changes
than in expressing any
dissatisfaction with
their own personal
financial situation.
Boomers complain about
what has happened to
their plans for
retirement, but it is
hard to see how fixing
entitlements by raising
the retirement age, or
cutting the overly
generous pensions of
public employees will do
anything to impact their
own retirement prospects
directly. To really
close the generational
wealth gap, policies
should be adopted which
raise the economic well
being of America’s two
youngest generations,
rather than focusing on
those who are already
relatively better off.
To bring up the least
wealthy of the nation’s
households to levels
closer to those more
fortunate would require
taking much more
aggressive steps than
Washington has so far
been willing to
consider. This might
require expanding the
scope and size of
government, something
older generations
especially are
steadfastly resisting.
This inter-generational
debate over the nation’s
“civic ethos,” driven by
the differing economic
circumstances of each
generation, will be and
ought to be the
fundamental issue of the
campaign – precisely
where President Obama’s
speech in Osawatomie,
Kansas placed it.
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